Projecting changes and risks to managed agriculture, water, land and energy systems
The success of agriculture, water, land and energy systems depends on how we manage critical natural resources. In order to project the future of these systems, our Integrated Global System Modeling (IGSM) framework simulates the behavior of these systems under a variety of scenarios. These scenarios encompass a range of plausible conditions that involve changes in: global and regional environments; population and income and subsequent resource demands; technological efficiency and resulting resource availability; and adaptative strategies where technology, resilience and markets might ameliorate adverse effects of global and regional change.
To enable detailed analyses of these managed resources, the IGSM tracks the evolution of crops, forestry, livestock, water availability, water quality, land use and land cover, as well as the availability and penetration of energy technologies (e.g. fossil, hydro, geothermal, nuclear, wind and solar).
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