Induced Technical Change and the Cost of Climate Policy

Joint Program Report
Induced Technical Change and the Cost of Climate Policy
Sue Wing, I. (2003)
Joint Program Report Series, 45 pages

Report 102 [Download]

Abstract/Summary:

This paper investigates the potential for a carbon tax to induce R&D, and for the consequent induced technical change (ITC) to lower the macroeconomic cost of abating carbon emissions. ITC is modelled within a general equilibrium simulation of the U.S. economy by the effects of emissions restrictions on the level and composition of aggregate R&D, the accumulation of the stock of knowledge, and the industry-level reallocation and substitution of intangible services derived therefrom. Contrary to other authors, I find that ITC's impact is large, positive and dominated by the latter "substitution effect," which mitigates most of the deadweight loss of the tax.

Citation:

Sue Wing, I. (2003): Induced Technical Change and the Cost of Climate Policy. Joint Program Report Series Report 102, 45 pages (http://globalchange.mit.edu/publication/14103)
  • Joint Program Report
Induced Technical Change and the Cost of Climate Policy

Sue Wing, I.

Report 

102
45 pages
2003

Abstract/Summary: 

This paper investigates the potential for a carbon tax to induce R&D, and for the consequent induced technical change (ITC) to lower the macroeconomic cost of abating carbon emissions. ITC is modelled within a general equilibrium simulation of the U.S. economy by the effects of emissions restrictions on the level and composition of aggregate R&D, the accumulation of the stock of knowledge, and the industry-level reallocation and substitution of intangible services derived therefrom. Contrary to other authors, I find that ITC's impact is large, positive and dominated by the latter "substitution effect," which mitigates most of the deadweight loss of the tax.